Nola RPG (Big Easy Table Top RPGs - New Orleans Roleplaying D&D D20 GURPS)

Nola RPG (Big Easy Table Top RPGs - New Orleans Roleplaying D&D D20 GURPS)
http://nolarpg.com/cgi-bin/NolaRPG/YaBB.pl Hurricane & Evacuations >> Darth Gustav >> Gustav http://nolarpg.com/cgi-bin/NolaRPG/YaBB.pl?num=1219854043 Message started by Liam on Aug 27^th, 2008 at 5:20pm

Title: Gustav
Post by Liam on Aug 27^th, 2008 at 5:20pm

I know I am traveling this weekend (and going to miss my game :'() but for anyone else who hasn't been paying attention:

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Title: Re: Gustav
Post by Red Priest on Aug 28^th, 2008 at 6:24pm

Don't forget to take the entire cone into account. It's not just the little line they always put through the middle. That's the most likely track, but the error of margin 5 days out is very large. Just overnight, there's been a significant shift westward in most of the models.

At 2pm today, the WWL weather guy, Carl, is hosting a live chat session. I submitted a questions asking which models have the best track record, what's their historical accuracy (as a percent) 5 days out and can the prediction cone be presented as a gradient of percentages.

Can you tell that I like Rolemaster and GURPS? 8-)

Title: Re: Gustav
Post by Liam on Aug 28^th, 2008 at 6:57pm

I know. And today's map has it more to the west and tuesday morning instead of monday. Mainly I was just telling people to pay attention because it is a holiday weekend. If the trigger gets pulled on New Orleans evacuation then the highways could be set for contra-flow over this weekend and that will just make traffic worse.

The odd thing is that the blue line, which was the closest one to the projected path yesterday went east while most of the others moved west. So yesterday it looked like the blue algorithm was the favorite and now its being ignored. This tells me the algorithm for combining them isn't simple and might favor one over the others based on other factors... i.e. one is good in a certain water temp range or differential pressure or exact pressure or ....

I used to work for NOAA and then worked for METOC for a while. I miss have several experts a cube away so I could get personal forcasts.

Title: Re: Gustav
Post by The DM on Aug 30^th, 2008 at 4:44am

I have found that I really do not want to drive all the way out to Texas. My only real concern is to find a place so that none of my car windows get broken.

If I could find a place to stow my car I would weather it.

Title: Re: Gustav
Post by Liam on Aug 30^th, 2008 at 5:08am

I'm taking one car to covington so my garage will have the other car.

You could leave it at work on the third level near the middle... that might be better. I could help you drop it off but if bad things happen, I couldn't get you to it.

Title: Re: Gustav
Post by The DM on Aug 30^th, 2008 at 6:16am

You think there are any good spots in the structure blocked from the elements? Perhaps the bottom level?

Title: Re: Gustav
Post by Liam on Aug 30^th, 2008 at 7:06am

Bottom could flood. You could park in the middle of the 3rd or fourth floor. Stuff could blow in but nothing will fall on it. That's the best I can come up with.

If you think its safe on the bottom floor you could park near a wall.

Title: Re: Gustav
Post by Admin account on Sep 1^st, 2008 at 12:49am

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